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علّیت گرنجر با پارامترهای متغیر با زمان×مدل خودرگرسیون برداری ساختاری (SVAR)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1969 (Granger); TVP extension ~20051980
پدیدآورC.W.J. Granger (causality concept); TVP extension developed by Primiceri (2005) and subsequent literatureSims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
نوعCausality test / time-varying modelMultivariate time series model
منبع بنیادینGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673. link ↗
نام‌های دیگرTVP Granger causality, rolling-window Granger causality, time-varying Granger test, dynamic Granger causalitySVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
مرتبط45
خلاصهTime-varying parameter Granger causality extends the classical Granger causality framework by allowing the predictive relationships between time series to evolve across time. Instead of assuming fixed causal effects, the model estimates causal coefficients that can shift, capturing structural breaks, regime changes, or gradual evolution in economic or financial relationships.Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Time-varying parameter Granger causality · Structural VAR. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare