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حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1987/19991990
پدیدآورEngle & Granger (1987) for cointegration; Park & Hahn (1999) for TVP extensionHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
نوعTime-series cointegration modelState space time series model
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F., & Granger, C. W. J. (1987). Co-integration and error correction: Representation, estimation, and testing. Econometrica, 55(2), 251–276. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرTVP Engle-Granger cointegration, time-varying cointegration, TVP-EG cointegration, varying-coefficient cointegrationstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
مرتبط34
خلاصهTime-varying parameter (TVP) Engle-Granger cointegration extends the classical two-step Engle-Granger framework by allowing the long-run relationship between integrated series to evolve over time. Instead of assuming a fixed cointegrating vector, the cointegrating coefficients are modelled as stochastic processes — typically via a random walk — and estimated with the Kalman filter or related state-space methods.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Time-varying parameter Engle-Granger cointegration · State Space Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-18 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare