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مدل پارامتر زمان-متغیر ARCH (TVP-ARCH)×مدل نوسان‌پذیری تصادفی (هستون)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیمالی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1980s–1990s1993
پدیدآورExtension of Engle (1982) ARCH; TVP-ARCH formalization credited to Nicholls & Quinn and subsequent state-space literatureSteven L. Heston
نوعConditional heteroscedasticity model with time-varying coefficientsContinuous-time stochastic volatility model
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Heston, S. L. (1993). A Closed-Form Solution for Options with Stochastic Volatility with Applications to Bond and Currency Options. Review of Financial Studies, 6(2), 327-343. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرTVP-ARCH, time-varying ARCH, adaptive ARCH, state-space ARCHHeston model, SV model, continuous-time stochastic volatility, Stokastik Volatilite Modeli (Heston, SV)
مرتبط55
خلاصهThe Time-Varying Parameter ARCH (TVP-ARCH) model extends the classic ARCH framework by allowing both the conditional mean coefficients and the ARCH variance parameters to drift over time according to a random-walk or state-space process. This makes it possible to capture structural shifts in volatility dynamics without imposing a fixed parameter regime.The stochastic volatility model is a continuous-time option-pricing and risk framework in which volatility follows its own random process rather than staying constant. The Heston model, introduced by Steven Heston in 1993, gives the variance a mean-reverting square-root (CIR) dynamic and yields a closed-form option price; it is the continuous-time counterpart of GARCH.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Time-varying parameter ARCH model · Stochastic Volatility Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare