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مدل ARCH مقاوم×مدل ARCH (ناهمسان‌گسیختگی شرطی خودرگرسیو)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش2002–20081982
پدیدآورEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sRobert F. Engle
نوعVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelConditional volatility model
منبع بنیادینEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرrobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
مرتبط66
خلاصهThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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  1. v1
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  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Robust ARCH model · ARCH model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare