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Real Options Valuation×ارزش‌گذاری بی‌خطر نسبت به ریسک×
حوزهاقتصادمالی کمّی
خانوادهProcess / pipelineRegression model
سال پیدایش19941979
پدیدآورStewart Myers (term); Dixit & Pindyck, Trigeorgis (theory)John Harrison and David Kreps
نوعValuation of managerial flexibility under uncertaintyFundamental Principle
منبع بنیادینDixit, A. K., & Pindyck, R. S. (1994). Investment Under Uncertainty. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 9780691034102Harrison, J. M., & Kreps, D. M. (1979). Martingales and arbitrage in multiperiod securities markets. Journal of Economic Theory, 20(3), 381-408. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرReal Options Analysis, ROV, Real Option Pricing, Investment Under UncertaintyRisk-Neutral Measure, Q-Measure
مرتبط34
خلاصهReal options valuation applies the theory of financial options to real (physical, strategic) investment decisions, valuing the managerial flexibility to defer, expand, contract, switch, or abandon a project as uncertainty resolves over time. Where standard discounted-cash-flow analysis assumes a now-or-never commitment to a fixed plan, real options recognize that managers hold rights — not obligations — to act, and that this flexibility has value precisely because the future is uncertain. Using option-pricing and dynamic-programming methods, the approach values these embedded options and identifies the optimal timing and conditions for exercising them.Risk-neutral valuation (1979) is the fundamental principle that derivative prices equal the expected payoff discounted at the risk-free rate, computed under a risk-neutral probability measure (Q-measure). This principle, formalized by Harrison and Kreps, eliminates the need to estimate risk premia and is the foundation of modern derivatives pricing.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Real Options Valuation · Risk-Neutral Valuation. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-25 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare