مقایسهٔ روشها
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| تحلیل حساسیت سناریوی سیاستی× | شبیهسازی مونت کارلو× | |
|---|---|---|
| حوزه≠ | شبیهسازی | تصمیمگیری |
| خانواده≠ | Process / pipeline | MCDM |
| سال پیدایش≠ | 1990s–2000s | 1949 |
| پدیدآور≠ | Saltelli, A. et al.; Lempert, R. J. et al. | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. |
| نوع≠ | Analytical framework combining scenario planning with sensitivity analysis | Robustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation |
| منبع بنیادین≠ | Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M., & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. John Wiley & Sons, Chichester. ISBN: 9780470059975 | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗ |
| نامهای دیگر≠ | PSSA, Policy Sensitivity Analysis, Scenario-Based Sensitivity Analysis, Policy Robustness Analysis | — |
| مرتبط≠ | 5 | 0 |
| خلاصه≠ | Policy Scenario Sensitivity Analysis (PSSA) combines structured scenario planning with formal sensitivity analysis to determine which model inputs and policy parameters most strongly drive outcomes across a set of distinct policy alternatives or future states. It is widely used in public health, climate, energy, and economic policy modeling to identify robust interventions that perform well even when key assumptions vary. | MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result. |
| ScholarGateمجموعهداده ↗ |
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