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حوزهبیزیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهBayesian methodsRegression model
سال پیدایش19931990
پدیدآورGordon, Salmond & SmithHarvey; Durbin & Koopman (state space treatment); Kalman filter
نوعSequential Monte Carlo estimatorState space time series model
منبع بنیادینGordon, N. J., Salmond, D. J., & Smith, A. F. M. (1993). Novel approach to nonlinear/non-Gaussian Bayesian state estimation. IEE Proceedings F (Radar and Signal Processing), 140(2), 107–113. DOI ↗Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرSMC, sequential Monte Carlo, bootstrap filter, condensation algorithmstate space, Kalman filter, unobserved components model, Durum Uzayı Modeli (State Space / Kalman Filter)
مرتبط44
خلاصهThe particle filter, introduced by Gordon, Salmond, and Smith in 1993, is a sequential Monte Carlo algorithm that approximates the Bayesian filtering distribution for nonlinear and non-Gaussian state-space models. Rather than tracking a single best estimate, it maintains a cloud of N weighted random samples — particles — that collectively represent the full posterior distribution of a hidden state at each point in time as new observations arrive.A state space model is a general time series framework that describes a series through unobserved (latent) state variables linked by a measurement equation and a transition equation, with the states estimated in real time by the Kalman filter. Developed in the state space tradition of Harvey (1990) and Durbin & Koopman (2012), it nests ARIMA and exponential smoothing as special cases.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Particle Filter · State Space Model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare