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مدل TGARCH غیرخطی×مدل ARCH (ناهمسان‌گسیختگی شرطی خودرگرسیو)×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهRegression modelRegression model
سال پیدایش1993–19941982
پدیدآورJean-Michel Zakoian; related work by Glosten, Jagannathan & RunkleRobert F. Engle
نوعConditional heteroskedasticity modelConditional volatility model
منبع بنیادینZakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931–955. DOI ↗Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرNL-TGARCH, Nonlinear Threshold GARCH, Asymmetric TGARCH, GJR-GARCH variantARCH, autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity, Engle ARCH, conditional variance model
مرتبط46
خلاصهThe Nonlinear TGARCH (Threshold GARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative shocks of equal magnitude to exert different effects on future volatility. It models conditional volatility in terms of the absolute value of lagged residuals split by a sign threshold, capturing the well-documented leverage effect in financial return series.The ARCH model, introduced by Robert Engle in 1982, captures time-varying volatility in financial and macroeconomic time series. It models the conditional variance of today's error as a function of past squared errors, explaining why volatile periods cluster together — a phenomenon known as volatility clustering.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Nonlinear TGARCH model · ARCH model. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-17 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare