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شبیه‌سازی خرد×شبیه‌سازی مونت کارلو×
حوزهشبیه‌سازیتصمیم‌گیری
خانوادهProcess / pipelineMCDM
سال پیدایش19571949
پدیدآورGuy Orcutt (concept, 1957); modern tax-transfer frameworks developed through EUROMOD and related projectsMetropolis, N., Ulam, S.
نوعPolicy simulation / computational social scienceRobustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation
منبع بنیادینO'Donoghue, C. (Ed.) (2014). Handbook of Microsimulation Modelling. Emerald. DOI ↗Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرMikrosimülasyon, micro-simulation, policy microsimulation
مرتبط50
خلاصهMicrosimulation is a computational method that simulates policy effects by operating directly on a population of individual micro-units — households, firms, patients — and applying rules to each unit according to its own demographic, economic, and behavioural characteristics. Developed conceptually by Guy Orcutt in 1957, it has become the standard tool for evaluating tax reform, pension systems, and health policy before implementation.MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Microsimulation · MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-15 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare