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آزمون شکست ساختاری چندگانه بای-پرون×آزمون CUSUM: تشخیص ناپایداری پارامتر در مدل‌های رگرسیون×
حوزهاقتصادسنجیاقتصادسنجی
خانوادهHypothesis testHypothesis test
سال پیدایش19981975
پدیدآورJushan Bai & Pierre PerronBrown, Durbin & Evans
نوعSequential hypothesis test for multiple structural breaksRecursive residual test
منبع بنیادینBai, J., & Perron, P. (1998). Estimating and testing linear models with multiple structural changes. Econometrica, 66(1), 47–78. DOI ↗Brown, R. L., Durbin, J., & Evans, J. M. (1975). Techniques for testing the constancy of regression relationships over time. Journal of the Royal Statistical Society: Series B, 37(2), 149–192. DOI ↗
نام‌های دیگرBai-Perron Multiple Break Test, Multiple Structural Change Test, Sequential Structural Break Test, Çoklu Yapısal Kırılma TestiCumulative Sum Test, CUSUMSQ Test, Brown-Durbin-Evans Test, Kümülatif Toplam Testi
مرتبط23
خلاصهThe Bai-Perron test, introduced by Jushan Bai and Pierre Perron in their landmark 1998 Econometrica paper, is a least-squares-based procedure for detecting, estimating, and testing the number of structural breaks in a linear regression model estimated on time-series data. Unlike single-break tests, it simultaneously identifies multiple change-points in a sample, providing economists and empirical researchers with a rigorous, data-driven way to locate parameter instability across time.The CUSUM (Cumulative Sum) and CUSUMSQ (Cumulative Sum of Squares) tests, introduced by Brown, Durbin, and Evans (1975), assess whether the coefficients of a linear regression model remain constant over time. They are standard tools in econometrics for detecting structural breaks, policy shifts, or regime changes in time-series data without requiring prior knowledge of when a break occurs.
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ScholarGateمقایسهٔ روش‌ها: Bai-Perron Test · CUSUM Test. بازیابی‌شده در 2026-06-19 از https://scholargate.app/fa/compare