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ETSformer×ETS: vea, trendi, hooajalise eksponentsiaalne silumine×
ValdkondSüvaõpeÖkonomeetria
PerekondMachine learningRegression model
Tekkeaasta20222008
LoojaGerald Woo et al.Hyndman, Koehler, Ord & Snyder (state space framework)
TüüpHybrid decomposition-based Transformer architectureExponential smoothing state space model
AlgallikasWoo, G., Liu, C., Sahoo, D., Kumar, A., & Hoi, S. (2022). ETSformer: Exponential smoothing transformers for time-series forecasting. arXiv preprint. link ↗Hyndman, R. J., Koehler, A. B., Ord, J. K. & Snyder, R. D. (2008). Forecasting with Exponential Smoothing: The State Space Approach. Springer. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedExponential Smoothing Transformer, ETS Transformer, ETSformer forecasting model, Üstel Düzleştirme Transformatörüexponential smoothing state space model, innovations state space model, Holt-Winters family, ETS — Hata/Trend/Mevsimsellik Üstel Düzleştirme
Seotud25
KokkuvõteETSformer is a deep learning architecture for time-series forecasting introduced by Woo et al. in 2022. It integrates classical exponential smoothing principles directly into the Transformer framework by replacing standard self-attention with an exponential smoothing attention mechanism. The model decomposes a time series into level, growth (trend), and seasonal components, allowing it to leverage both the long-range dependency modeling of Transformers and the interpretable structure of statistical ETS models.ETS is a comprehensive exponential smoothing framework that automatically selects additive or multiplicative combinations of the error (E), trend (T) and seasonal (S) components of a time series. Formalised as an innovations state space model by Hyndman, Koehler, Ord and Snyder in 2008, it unifies and generalises the Holt-Winters family of forecasting methods.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: ETSformer · ETS Model. Loetud 2026-06-15 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare