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Autoregressiivne mudel (AR)×Grangeri põhjuslikkuse test×
ValdkondÖkonomeetriaÖkonomeetria
PerekondRegression modelRegression model
Tekkeaasta1970s (popularised 1976)1969
LoojaGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. JenkinsClive W. J. Granger
TüüpTime series modelCausality test (F-test on VAR)
AlgallikasBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043Granger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating Causal Relations by Econometric Models and Cross-spectral Methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424–438. DOI ↗
RööpnimetusedAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR processGranger test, GC test, predictive causality test, Granger non-causality test
Seotud65
KokkuvõteAn autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.The Granger causality test is a statistical hypothesis test that determines whether past values of one time series help predict future values of another, beyond what that series' own past already explains. Introduced by Clive Granger in 1969, it is the standard approach for assessing predictive causality in VAR-based time-series analysis.
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ScholarGateVõrdle meetodeid: Autoregressive model · Granger Causality Test. Loetud 2026-06-17 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/compare