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Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Causality

Bayesian sensitivity analysis for causality quantifies how much an unmeasured confounder would need to influence both treatment assignment and outcome to overturn a causal conclusion. Rather than testing a single worst-case scenario, it places prior distributions over the strength of hidden confounding, propagates uncertainty through a full Bayesian model, and reports a posterior distribution for the causal effect that honestly reflects what is and is not identified from observed data.

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  1. McCandless, L. C., Gustafson, P., & Austin, P. C. (2007). Bayesian propensity score analysis for observational data. Statistics in Medicine, 26(8), 1704-1718. DOI: 10.1002/sim.3460
  2. Gustafson, P. (2015). Bayesian Inference for Partially Identified Models: Exploring the Limits of Limited Data. CRC Press / Chapman & Hall. ISBN: 9781439869390

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ScholarGate. (2026, June 3). Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding in Causal Inference. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/et/causal-inference/bayesian-sensitivity-analysis-for-causality

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ScholarGateBayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Causality (Bayesian Sensitivity Analysis for Unmeasured Confounding in Causal Inference). Loetud 2026-06-15 aadressilt https://scholargate.app/et/causal-inference/bayesian-sensitivity-analysis-for-causality · Andmestik: https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.20539026