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Análisis de Impacto Causal con Datos de Panel×Series de Tiempo Interrumpidas con Datos de Panel×
CampoInferencia causalInferencia causal
FamiliaRegression modelRegression model
Año de origen2015 (base method); panel extension mid-2010s2000s–2010s
Autor originalBrodersen et al. (2015); panel extension by Holtz et al. and subsequent literatureShadish, Cook & Campbell (design framework); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (epidemiological tutorial)
TipoBayesian structural time-series causal inferenceQuasi-experimental causal inference
Fuente seminalBrodersen, K. H., Gallusser, F., Koehler, J., Remy, N., & Scott, S. L. (2015). Inferring causal impact using Bayesian structural time-series models. Annals of Applied Statistics, 9(1), 247-274. DOI ↗Lopez Bernal, J., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
AliasPanel CausalImpact, multi-unit causal impact, panel BSTS causal inference, panel structural time-series causal analysispanel ITS, multi-unit ITS, panel ITSA, controlled interrupted time series
Relacionados65
ResumenPanel data causal impact analysis extends the Bayesian structural time-series approach of Brodersen et al. (2015) to multi-unit panel settings, estimating the counterfactual for several treated units simultaneously using control units as a donor pool. It produces credible intervals for the causal effect at each post-intervention time point, aggregated across units and periods.Panel Data Interrupted Time Series (panel ITS) is a quasi-experimental method that estimates the causal effect of an intervention using repeated observations from multiple units over time. By exploiting variation across both units and time periods, it provides stronger causal identification than single-unit ITS, detecting changes in the level and slope of the outcome trajectory immediately following a clearly dated intervention.
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ScholarGateComparar métodos: Panel Data Causal Impact Analysis · Panel Data Interrupted Time Series. Recuperado el 2026-06-18 de https://scholargate.app/es/compare