Latent Growth Curve Model (LGC)
Latent Growth Curve Model · Also known as: latent growth model, LGC, growth curve model, Gizil Büyüme Eğrisi Modeli
The latent growth curve model is a structural equation modelling approach introduced by Meredith and Tisak (1990) for analysing change over time. It treats each individual's starting point (intercept) and rate of change (slope) as latent variables, simultaneously estimating the average trajectory across the sample and the extent to which individuals differ in their own trajectories.
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When to use it
The latent growth curve model is appropriate when you have repeated measurements of the same individuals across at least three time points and your research question concerns how the outcome changes over time and why individuals differ in that change. Key assumptions are: (1) continuous outcome variable measured at each wave; (2) multivariate normality, or the use of a robust estimator when this is violated; (3) the shape of growth — linear, quadratic, or other — should be grounded in theory before fitting the model; (4) missing data at some waves are acceptable when full-information maximum likelihood (FIML) estimation is used; (5) a minimum sample size of roughly 100 is needed to obtain stable estimates of the variance components.
Strengths & limitations
- Models both the average trajectory and individual variability in growth within a single, coherent framework.
- Accommodates missing data at some waves through full-information maximum likelihood without listwise deletion.
- Covariates can be added to the structural level to explain why individuals differ in their intercepts and slopes.
- Extends naturally to more complex forms: piecewise growth, quadratic change, multiple parallel processes, or growth mixture models.
- Requires at least three time points; with only two waves, the slope is just a difference score and no variance can be estimated for it.
- The shape of growth must be specified before fitting: using the data alone to choose between linear and quadratic models risks capitalising on chance.
- Sensitive to sample size; variance and covariance estimates for the growth factors become unstable with fewer than roughly 100 participants.
- Multivariate normality is assumed; non-normal outcomes require robust standard errors or alternative estimators.
Frequently asked
How is LGC different from mixed-effects (multilevel) models for longitudinal data?
Both approaches model individual growth trajectories and are mathematically equivalent under many parameterisations. The LGC model is formulated within the SEM framework, which makes it straightforward to add latent predictors, multiple parallel growth processes, or measurement error correction. Mixed-effects models are typically preferred when the number of time points varies across individuals or when the data structure is highly unbalanced, because they handle such designs more flexibly.
What is the minimum number of time points needed?
At least three waves are required to estimate both the intercept variance and the slope variance and their covariance. With only two waves the model is equivalent to a difference score and the variance of the slope cannot be separated from measurement error. Four or more waves are strongly preferred when a quadratic or other nonlinear growth form is hypothesised.
How do I handle missing data at some waves?
Full-information maximum likelihood (FIML) is the recommended approach. It uses all available data from each individual at each wave without imputation or listwise deletion, producing unbiased estimates under the assumption that data are missing at random. Most SEM software implements FIML as a standard option.
Can I add predictors of the growth factors?
Yes — this is one of the key strengths of the LGC framework. Time-invariant covariates (such as sex or experimental condition) are regressed on the intercept and slope latent factors in the structural part of the model. This allows you to test whether a predictor explains why individuals differ in their starting level, their rate of change, or both.
Sources
- Meredith, W. & Tisak, J. (1990). Latent Curve Analysis. Psychometrika, 55(1), 107–122. DOI: 10.1007/BF02294746 ↗
How to cite this page
ScholarGate. (2026, June 1). Latent Growth Curve Model. ScholarGate. https://scholargate.app/en/statistics/latent-growth-curve
Which method?
Set this method beside its closest kin and read them side by side — the library lays the books on the table; the choice is yours.
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