Process / pipelineSimulation / optimization

Multi-objective Scenario Analysis — Evaluating alternative futures across multiple competing objectives

Multi-objective Scenario Analysis (MOSA) is a structured method that constructs a set of plausible future scenarios and evaluates each scenario against multiple competing objectives or criteria. By making trade-offs explicit across objectives and across possible futures, it supports strategic decisions where uncertainty about the future and conflicts between goals co-exist. It is widely applied in energy planning, climate adaptation, public policy, and corporate strategy.

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Sources

  1. Stewart, T. J., French, S., & Rios, J. (2013). Integrating multicriteria decision analysis and scenario planning: Review and extension. Omega, 41(4), 679-688. DOI: 10.1016/j.omega.2012.09.003
  2. Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: A tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. link

Related methods

ScholarGateMulti-objective Scenario Analysis (Multi-objective Scenario Analysis — Evaluating alternative futures across multiple competing objectives). Retrieved 2026-06-04 from https://scholargate.app/en/simulation/multi-objective-scenario-analysis