Method evidence record
Time-varying parameter SARIMA model
The Time-Varying Parameter SARIMA model extends the classical SARIMA framework by allowing autoregressive and moving-average coefficients to evolve over time. Cast as a state-space system and estimated with the Kalman filter, it captures both seasonal patterns and structural change within a single unified model.
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Time-Varying Parameter Seasonal Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average Model
Taxonomic method record · regression-model / econometrics
- Harvey, A. C. (1990). Forecasting, Structural Time Series Models and the Kalman Filter. Cambridge University Press. · ISBN 9780521321969
- Durbin, J., & Koopman, S. J. (2012). Time Series Analysis by State Space Methods (2nd ed.). Oxford University Press. · ISBN 9780199641178
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