Exponential Smoothing
Exponential smoothing is a family of basic time-series forecasting models in which each new observation updates a smoothed estimate by a weighting parameter. Simple exponential smoothing (SES), introduced by Robert G. Brown in 1959, forecasts series with a stable level, while Holt's double exponential smoothing, introduced by Charles C. Holt in 1957, adds a trend term using the parameters alpha and beta.
Source record
Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.
- Brown, R. G. (1959). Statistical Forecasting for Inventory Control. McGraw-Hill. · URL
- Holt, C. C. (1957). Forecasting Trends and Seasonals by Exponentially Weighted Averages. Office of Naval Research Memorandum 52, Carnegie Institute of Technology. · URL
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