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Prophet/Evidence
Method evidence record

Prophet

Prophet is a Bayesian structural time series model introduced by Taylor and Letham at Facebook/Meta in 2018. It forecasts a continuous series by decomposing it into separate, interpretable trend, seasonality, and holiday components, and is designed to be approachable for analysts working at scale.

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Source record

Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.

Prophet Decomposable Time Series Forecasting Model
Taxonomic method record · regression-model / econometrics
  • Taylor, S. J. & Letham, B. (2018). Forecasting at Scale. The American Statistician, 72(1), 37-45. · DOI 10.1080/00031305.2017.1380080
  • Taylor, S. J. & Letham, B. (2017). Prophet: Forecasting at Scale [Software]. Facebook/Meta. · URL
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Curated claims

Claims persisted in the evidence ledger, each with its own assessment.

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Related methods

Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations — no evidence claim is inferred.

Same method familyETS Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyHolt-Wintersmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyOLS Regressionmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyState Space Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyStructural Time Series Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.

Evidence status

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Bibliographic sources are present. Claim-level evidence review has not been performed.

Sources

2 recorded citations, copied from the method source record.

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