Power Transition Analysis
Power transition analysis examines when and why war breaks out between a dominant state and a rising challenger as their relative power converges. Originating in A. F. K. Organski and Jacek Kugler's The War Ledger (1980), it holds that the international system is hierarchical and most dangerous not at moments of clear preponderance but when a dissatisfied rising power approaches parity with the dominant state — and it operationalizes this by tracking relative national capabilities over time and relating overtaking to the onset of major war.
Source record
Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.
- Organski, A. F. K., & Kugler, J. (1980). The War Ledger. University of Chicago Press. · URL
- DiCicco, J. M., & Levy, J. S. (2003). From war to integration: Generalizing power transition theory. International Interactions, 29(4), 311–334. · DOI 10.1080/714950654
Curated claims
Claims persisted in the evidence ledger, each with its own assessment.
This view does not invent a claim assessment when the ledger has none.
Related methods
Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations — no evidence claim is inferred.