Method evidence record

Markov Land-Use Model

A Markov land-use model treats land-use and land-cover change as a stochastic process in which the area in each class evolves according to fixed probabilities of transitioning from one class to another between time steps. Estimated from two dated maps as a transition probability matrix, it projects how much of the landscape will convert from, say, forest to cropland or cropland to urban, assuming the future obeys the same transition tendencies as the recent past. Introduced to landscape ecology by Muller and Middleton in 1994, it is most powerful when coupled with a cellular automaton — the CA-Markov framework — that decides where, not just how much, change occurs.

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Markov Chain Land-Use / Land-Cover Change Model

Taxonomic method record · process-pipeline / human-geography

Muller, M. R., & Middleton, J. (1994). A Markov model of land-use change dynamics in the Niagara Region, Ontario, Canada. Landscape Ecology, 9(2), 151–157. · DOI 10.1007/BF00124382

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Related methods

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Same method familyCellular Automatamachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyCellular Automata Urban Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyLand-Use Change Modelingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familySpatial Microsimulationmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.