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Holt-Winters/Evidence
Method evidence record

Holt-Winters

Holt-Winters triple exponential smoothing is a forecasting model that extends Holt's double smoothing by adding a seasonal component, introduced by Peter Winters in 1960 building on Charles Holt's work. It tracks three evolving quantities — level, trend, and season — and combines them to forecast a continuous time series.

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Source record

Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.

Holt-Winters Triple Exponential Smoothing
Taxonomic method record · regression-model / econometrics
  • Winters, P. R. (1960). Forecasting Sales by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages. Management Science, 6(3), 324-342. · DOI 10.1287/mnsc.6.3.324
  • Holt, C. C. (2004). Forecasting Seasonals and Trends by Exponentially Weighted Moving Averages. International Journal of Forecasting, 20(1), 5-10. · DOI 10.1016/j.ijforecast.2003.09.015
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Curated claims

Claims persisted in the evidence ledger, each with its own assessment.

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Related methods

Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations — no evidence claim is inferred.

Same method familyARIMAmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyExponential Smoothingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyState Space Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyStructural Time Series Modelmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.

Evidence status

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Bibliographic sources are present. Claim-level evidence review has not been performed.

Sources

2 recorded citations, copied from the method source record.

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