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Foresight Scenario Method/Evidence
Method evidence record

Foresight Scenario Method

The scenario method constructs a small set of internally consistent, plausible stories about how the future might unfold, built from the key driving forces and critical uncertainties facing a decision. Rather than forecasting one expected future, it deliberately develops several contrasting futures so that strategies can be tested against a range of possibilities and decision-makers can rehearse responses to what might otherwise be surprises.

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Source record

Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.

Scenario Method for Foresight
Taxonomic method record · process-pipeline / science-technology-studies
  • Schoemaker, P. J. H. (1995). Scenario planning: a tool for strategic thinking. Sloan Management Review, 36(2), 25-40. · URL
  • Varum, C. A., & Melo, C. (2010). Directions in scenario planning literature – a review of the past decades. Futures, 42(4), 355-369. · DOI 10.1016/j.futures.2009.11.021
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Curated claims

Claims persisted in the evidence ledger, each with its own assessment.

No curated claims yet

This view does not invent a claim assessment when the ledger has none.

Related methods

Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations — no evidence claim is inferred.

Taxonomic bucketHorizon Scanningmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyTechnology Delphimachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Taxonomic bucketTechnology Foresightmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyTechnology Roadmappingmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.

Evidence status

Sources recorded, not reviewed

Bibliographic sources are present. Claim-level evidence review has not been performed.

Sources

2 recorded citations, copied from the method source record.

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