Method evidence record

Civil War Onset Analysis

Civil war onset analysis is the observational study of why internal armed conflict begins in some countries and years but not others. Organized as country-year data with a binary onset outcome, it models the probability of onset against structural, economic, and political conditions. Fearon and Laitin's (2003) influential analysis argued that civil war is best understood as insurgency, and that the conditions favoring insurgency — weak states, poverty, rough terrain, large populations — predict onset far better than ethnic or religious diversity, reframing the long 'greed versus grievance' debate.

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Observational Analysis of Civil War Onset

Taxonomic method record · process-pipeline / international-relations

Fearon, J. D., & Laitin, D. D. (2003). Ethnicity, insurgency, and civil war. American Political Science Review, 97(1), 75–90. · DOI 10.1017/S0003055403000534

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Related methods

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Used in the same domainConflict Recurrence Analysismachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Used in the same domainMachine Learning Conflict Predictionmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.Same method familyState Capacity Measurementmachine-suggested · Relational suggestion, not evidence.