Method evidence record
VaR Backtesting
VaR backtesting is a family of statistical tests that validate a risk model by comparing its Value-at-Risk forecasts against realised losses. It builds on Kupiec's (1995) unconditional coverage test, Christoffersen's (1998) conditional coverage test, and the Engle-Manganelli Dynamic Quantile (DQ) test.
Source record
Citations copied verbatim from the method’s source record. No claim-level verification is inferred from them.
Value-at-Risk Backtesting (Kupiec, Christoffersen, Dynamic Quantile)
Taxonomic method record · regression-model / finance
- Kupiec, P. H. (1995). Techniques for Verifying the Accuracy of Risk Measurement Models. The Journal of Derivatives, 3(2), 73-84. · DOI 10.3905/jod.1995.407942
- Christoffersen, P. F. (1998). Evaluating Interval Forecasts. International Economic Review, 39(4), 841-862. · DOI 10.2307/2527341
Curated claims
Claims persisted in the evidence ledger, each with its own assessment.
No curated claims yet
This view does not invent a claim assessment when the ledger has none.
Related methods
Generated from the method graph and shown as machine-suggested relations — no evidence claim is inferred.