Regression modelEconometrics / time series

Bayesian NARDL: Nonlinear ARDL with Bayesian Estimation

Bayesian NARDL combines the Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag framework of Shin, Yu, and Greenwood-Nimmo (2014) with Bayesian posterior inference. It models asymmetric long-run cointegration — allowing positive and negative shocks to a regressor to have different equilibrium effects — while incorporating prior knowledge and producing full posterior distributions over all parameters, including the asymmetry gap.

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Sources

  1. Shin, Y., Yu, B., & Greenwood-Nimmo, M. (2014). Modelling asymmetric cointegration and dynamic multipliers in a nonlinear ARDL framework. In W. C. Horrace & R. C. Sickles (Eds.), Festschrift in Honor of Peter Schmidt: Econometric Methods and Applications (pp. 281–314). Springer. link
  2. Koop, G. (2003). Bayesian Econometrics. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470845677

Related methods

ScholarGateBayesian NARDL (Bayesian Nonlinear Autoregressive Distributed Lag Model). Retrieved 2026-06-04 from https://scholargate.app/en/econometrics/bayesian-nardl