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Enduring Rivalry Analysis×Dyadic Conflict Analysis×
FieldInternational RelationsInternational Relations
FamilyProcess / pipelineProcess / pipeline
Year of origin20001992
OriginatorPaul Diehl & Gary Goertz (and the rivalry research program)Stuart A. Bremer (and the Correlates of War dyadic tradition)
TypeDyadic analysis treating recurring conflict as the unitObservational research design for interstate conflict
Seminal sourceDiehl, P. F., & Goertz, G. (2000). War and Peace in International Rivalry. Ann Arbor: University of Michigan Press. link ↗Bremer, S. A. (1992). Dangerous dyads: Conditions affecting the likelihood of interstate war, 1816–1965. Journal of Conflict Resolution, 36(2), 309–341. DOI ↗
AliasesInterstate Rivalry Analysis, Rivalry Approach to Conflict, Strategic Rivalry Analysis, Enduring RivalriesDyad-Year Analysis, Dyadic Design in Conflict Studies, Dangerous Dyads Analysis, Pairwise Interstate Conflict Analysis
Related33
SummaryEnduring rivalry analysis studies the long-running, recurring antagonisms between particular pairs of states — India and Pakistan, the United States and the Soviet Union, Israel and its neighbors — as a distinct unit of analysis. Pioneered by Diehl and Goertz in War and Peace in International Rivalry (2000), it identifies rivalries from patterns of repeated militarized disputes, classifies their intensity, and analyzes their origins, dynamics, and termination. The approach argues that conflict is concentrated in a small number of rivalries and that understanding these histories explains much of interstate war.Dyadic conflict analysis is the dominant research design in quantitative conflict studies: it treats the pair of states (the dyad), observed year by year, as the unit of analysis and models the probability that a pair experiences militarized conflict as a function of their joint and individual attributes. Stuart Bremer's 'Dangerous Dyads' (1992) is the canonical statement, identifying which conditions — contiguity, the absence of alliance, power parity, the absence of joint democracy, and others — make a pair of states war-prone. The design aligns conflict data with the relational theories that dominate the field.
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ScholarGateCompare methods: Enduring Rivalry Analysis · Dyadic Conflict Analysis. Retrieved 2026-06-24 from https://scholargate.app/en/compare