Regression modelQuasi-experimental / causal inference

Bayesian Inverse Probability Weighting

Bayesian Inverse Probability Weighting (Bayesian IPW) extends the classical IPW estimator by placing prior distributions over the propensity-score model parameters and propagating that uncertainty into the causal-effect estimate. The result is a posterior distribution for the average treatment effect that fully accounts for both propensity-score estimation uncertainty and outcome-model uncertainty, enabling credible-interval inference rather than relying on asymptotic approximations.

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Sources

  1. Saarela, O., Stephens, D. A., Moodie, E. E. M., & Klein, M. B. (2015). On risk prediction and characterisation of treatment effects in a Bayesian framework using the propensity score. Statistics in Medicine, 34(14), 2170-2185. DOI: 10.1002/sim.6476
  2. Liao, S. X., & Zigler, C. M. (2020). Uncertainty in the design stage of two-stage Bayesian propensity score analysis. Statistics in Medicine, 39(17), 2265-2290. DOI: 10.1002/sim.8486

Related methods

ScholarGateBayesian Inverse Probability Weighting (Bayesian Inverse Probability Weighting Estimator). Retrieved 2026-06-04 from https://scholargate.app/en/causal-inference/bayesian-inverse-probability-weighting