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Μοντέλο SARIMA×Αυτοπαλινδρομικό Μοντέλο (AR)×
ΠεδίοΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρία
ΟικογένειαRegression modelRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης1970 (first edition); 1976 (revised)1970s (popularised 1976)
ΔημιουργόςBox, Jenkins, and ReinselGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
ΤύποςSeasonal time series modelTime series model
Θεμελιώδης πηγήBox, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., & Reinsel, G. C. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0130607744Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςSARIMA, seasonal ARIMA, Box-Jenkins seasonal model, ARIMA with seasonal componentAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Συναφείς56
ΣύνοψηSARIMA extends ARIMA by adding seasonal autoregressive and moving-average operators to capture repeating patterns at fixed intervals — such as monthly, quarterly, or annual cycles. Denoted SARIMA(p,d,q)(P,D,Q)s, it is the standard workhorse for univariate seasonal time series forecasting in econometrics, economics, and official statistics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: SARIMA model · Autoregressive model. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-17 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare