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Επεκτεταμένο Μοντέλο ARCH×Μοντέλο EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)×
ΠεδίοΟικονομετρίαΟικονομετρία
ΟικογένειαRegression modelRegression model
Έτος προέλευσης2002–20081991
ΔημιουργόςEngle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000sDaniel B. Nelson
ΤύποςVolatility / conditional heteroscedasticity modelVolatility / conditional variance model
Θεμελιώδης πηγήEngle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗
Εναλλακτικές ονομασίεςrobust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility modelExponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Συναφείς66
ΣύνοψηThe Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series.The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.
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ScholarGateΣύγκριση μεθόδων: Robust ARCH model · EGARCH model. Ανακτήθηκε στις 2026-06-17 από https://scholargate.app/el/compare