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| Επεκτεταμένο Μοντέλο ARCH× | Μοντέλο EGARCH (Exponential GARCH)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Πεδίο | Οικονομετρία | Οικονομετρία |
| Οικογένεια | Regression model | Regression model |
| Έτος προέλευσης≠ | 2002–2008 | 1991 |
| Δημιουργός≠ | Engle (1982) for ARCH; robust variants developed by Muler, Yohai, and others from the early 2000s | Daniel B. Nelson |
| Τύπος≠ | Volatility / conditional heteroscedasticity model | Volatility / conditional variance model |
| Θεμελιώδης πηγή≠ | Engle, R. F. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity with estimates of the variance of United Kingdom inflation. Econometrica, 50(4), 987–1007. DOI ↗ | Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370. DOI ↗ |
| Εναλλακτικές ονομασίες | robust ARCH, outlier-robust ARCH, heavy-tailed ARCH, robust conditional volatility model | Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH |
| Συναφείς | 6 | 6 |
| Σύνοψη≠ | The Robust ARCH model extends the classical Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity framework by replacing the standard maximum-likelihood estimator with robust alternatives that downweight or eliminate the influence of outliers. This makes volatility estimates resistant to extreme observations that frequently contaminate financial and macroeconomic time series. | The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets. |
| ScholarGateΣύνολο δεδομένων ↗ |
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