Methoden vergleichen

	Das TGARCH-Modell (Threshold GARCH)	DCC-GARCH-Modell (Dynamic Conditional Correlation)	EGARCH-Modell (Exponential GARCH)
Fachgebiet	Ökonometrie	Ökonometrie	Ökonometrie
Familie	Regression model	Regression model	Regression model
Entstehungsjahr	1993-1994	2002	1991
Urheber	Zakoian (1994); Glosten, Jagannathan & Runkle (1993)	Robert F. Engle	Daniel B. Nelson
Typ	Asymmetric volatility model	Multivariate volatility model	Volatility / conditional variance model
Wegweisende Quelle	Zakoian, J.-M. (1994). Threshold heteroskedastic models. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 18(5), 931-955.	Engle, R. F. (2002). Dynamic conditional correlation: A simple class of multivariate generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity models. Journal of Business and Economic Statistics, 20(3), 339-350.	Nelson, D. B. (1991). Conditional heteroskedasticity in asset returns: A new approach. Econometrica, 59(2), 347–370.
Aliasnamen	Threshold GARCH, TGARCH, GJR-GARCH, asymmetric GARCH	DCC-GARCH, Dynamic Conditional Correlation GARCH, Engle DCC model, multivariate DCC	Exponential GARCH, EGARCH, Nelson EGARCH, log-GARCH
Verwandt	6	5	6
Zusammenfassung	The Threshold GARCH (TGARCH) model extends the standard GARCH framework by allowing positive and negative return shocks to have asymmetric effects on conditional variance. Negative shocks — bad news — typically amplify volatility more than positive shocks of the same magnitude, a stylised fact known as the leverage effect. TGARCH captures this asymmetry through a threshold indicator that switches on when the previous period's shock was negative.	The DCC-GARCH model, introduced by Engle (2002), extends univariate GARCH to capture time-varying correlations between multiple financial time series. It decomposes the multivariate conditional covariance matrix into individual volatility processes and a dynamic correlation matrix, allowing correlations to fluctuate over time while remaining computationally tractable even with many series.	The Exponential GARCH (EGARCH) model, introduced by Nelson (1991), extends the standard GARCH framework by modelling the logarithm of conditional variance. This ensures variance is always positive without parameter constraints and, crucially, allows negative and positive shocks to have asymmetric effects on volatility — capturing the well-known leverage effect in financial markets.