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| Robuste Monte-Carlo-Simulation× | Bootstrap-Simulation× | |
|---|---|---|
| Fachgebiet≠ | Bayes-Statistik | Simulation |
| Familie≠ | Bayesian methods | Process / pipeline |
| Entstehungsjahr≠ | 1990s–2000s | 1979 |
| Urheber≠ | Saltelli, Rubinstein, and the uncertainty-quantification community | Bradley Efron |
| Typ≠ | Robust simulation / uncertainty quantification | Simulation-based nonparametric inference |
| Wegweisende Quelle≠ | Saltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M. & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470059975 | Efron, B. & Tibshirani, R.J. (1993). An Introduction to the Bootstrap. Chapman & Hall/CRC. DOI ↗ |
| Aliasnamen | robust MC simulation, Monte Carlo robustness analysis, robust stochastic simulation, uncertainty-robust Monte Carlo | bootstrap resampling, empirical resampling, nonparametric bootstrap, Önyükleme Simülasyonu (Bootstrap Resampling) |
| Verwandt≠ | 6 | 5 |
| Zusammenfassung≠ | Robust Monte Carlo simulation extends standard Monte Carlo by explicitly accounting for uncertainty in input distributions, model structure, or parameter assumptions. Rather than assuming a single fixed probability distribution for each input, the analyst considers a family of plausible distributions and evaluates how sensitive the output is to those choices, yielding conclusions that hold across a range of reasonable assumptions. | Bootstrap simulation, introduced by Bradley Efron in 1979, is a simulation-based inference method that derives the sampling distribution of virtually any statistic by repeatedly resampling with replacement from the observed data. Because it requires no parametric distributional assumptions, it provides a robust, general-purpose alternative to analytical confidence intervals and parametric hypothesis tests across continuous, ordinal, binary, and count data. |
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