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Pragmatisches Multiple-Baseline-Design×Analyse von unterbrochenen Zeitreihen (Interrupted Time Series, ITS)×
FachgebietVersuchsplanungKausale Inferenz
FamilieProcess / pipelineRegression model
Entstehungsjahr1968 (original MBD); pragmatic adaptation formalized in 2000s–2010s2002
UrheberAdapted from Baer, Wolf & Risley (1968); pragmatic variant developed within single-case methodology communityWagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial)
TypSingle-case experimental design variantQuasi-experimental segmented regression
Wegweisende QuelleBaer, D. M., Wolf, M. M., & Risley, T. R. (1968). Some current dimensions of applied behavior analysis. Journal of Applied Behavior Analysis, 1(1), 91–97. DOI ↗Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗
AliasnamenPMBD, pragmatic MBD, real-world multiple baseline design, flexible multiple baseline designITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi
Verwandt35
ZusammenfassungThe Pragmatic Multiple Baseline Design is a single-case experimental design that staggers intervention introduction across multiple participants, settings, or behaviors in real-world conditions where strict experimental control is impractical. By relaxing some idealized constraints — such as perfectly stable baselines or rigid staggering timelines — it preserves the core logic of the multiple baseline while accommodating clinical, educational, or community realities. It is especially valued when withholding treatment for ethical reasons is untenable and when practitioners need evidence from naturalistic settings.Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope.
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ScholarGateMethoden vergleichen: Pragmatic Multiple Baseline Design · Interrupted Time Series. Abgerufen am 2026-06-19 von https://scholargate.app/de/compare