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| Dynamische Synthetische Kontrollmethode× | Synthetische Kontrollmethode (SCM)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Fachgebiet | Kausale Inferenz | Kausale Inferenz |
| Familie | Regression model | Regression model |
| Entstehungsjahr≠ | 2010 | 2003–2010 |
| Urheber≠ | Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010); dynamic extensions by Abadie (2021) and others | Alberto Abadie & Javier Gardeazabal (2003); Abadie, Diamond & Hainmueller (2010) |
| Typ≠ | Comparative case study / counterfactual estimation | Quasi-experimental causal inference |
| Wegweisende Quelle | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ |
| Aliasnamen | Dynamic SCM, Time-varying synthetic control, Multi-period synthetic control, DSC | SCM, synthetic control, synth estimator, Abadie-Diamond-Hainmueller method |
| Verwandt≠ | 5 | 4 |
| Zusammenfassung≠ | The Dynamic Synthetic Control Method extends the classic synthetic control framework to evaluate treatments that unfold over multiple periods or change in intensity over time. It constructs a weighted combination of untreated units that matches the treated unit in pre-treatment outcomes, then traces the full time path of treatment effects period by period after the intervention — capturing not just an average effect but how the effect evolves dynamically. | The Synthetic Control Method estimates the causal effect of a treatment or policy on a single treated unit by constructing a weighted combination of untreated units — the synthetic control — that closely resembles the treated unit before the intervention. The gap between the treated unit and its synthetic counterpart after the intervention is the estimated treatment effect. |
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