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ARIMA-Modell (Autoregressives integriertes gleitendes Durchschnittsmodell)×Autoregressives Modell (AR)×
FachgebietÖkonometrieÖkonometrie
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Entstehungsjahr19701970s (popularised 1976)
UrheberGeorge Box and Gwilym JenkinsGeorge E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
TypTime series forecasting modelTime series model
Wegweisende QuelleBox, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
AliasnamenARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q)AR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Verwandt66
ZusammenfassungThe ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
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ScholarGateMethoden vergleichen: ARIMA model · Autoregressive model. Abgerufen am 2026-06-17 von https://scholargate.app/de/compare