Methoden vergleichen

	Agentenbasierte Szenarioanalyse	Policy Scenario Agent-Based Modeling
Fachgebiet	Simulation	Simulation
Familie	Process / pipeline	Process / pipeline
Entstehungsjahr	1990s–2000s	1990s–2000s
Urheber	Axelrod, R.; Schoemaker, P. J. H. (combined lineage)	Axelrod, R. and colleagues in computational social science
Typ	Hybrid simulation–scenario method	Simulation-based policy comparison
Wegweisende Quelle	Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. Princeton, NJ. ISBN: 9780691015675	Axelrod, R. (1997). The Complexity of Cooperation: Agent-Based Models of Competition and Collaboration. Princeton University Press. ISBN: 9780691015675
Aliasnamen	ABSA, ABM scenario analysis, agent-based scenario planning, scenario-driven ABM	Policy ABM, Policy Scenario ABM, Scenario-Based ABM, PS-ABM
Verwandt	4	5
Zusammenfassung	Agent-based scenario analysis embeds agent-based simulation models inside a structured scenario planning framework. Researchers define two to four contrasting future scenarios, configure agent populations and environmental rules to reflect each scenario's assumptions, run the simulation under each condition, and compare emergent outcomes. This makes it possible to explore how decentralized individual behaviors aggregate into system-level consequences under radically different futures.	Policy Scenario Agent-Based Modeling (PS-ABM) is a simulation method that uses agent-based models to evaluate and compare multiple policy scenarios. Heterogeneous autonomous agents interact under different policy regimes, and emergent system-level outcomes are compared across scenarios to inform evidence-based policy decisions. It is widely used in public health, urban planning, economics, and social policy research.