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Tidsserie-krydsvalidering (rullende/ekspanderende vindue)×Bootstrap-inferens×
FagområdeØkonometriStatistik
FamilieProcess / pipelineRegression model
Oprindelsesår20121979
OphavspersonChristoph Bergmeir & José BenítezBradley Efron
TypeForecast evaluation procedureResampling-based inference
Oprindelig kildeBergmeir, C., & Benítez, J. M. (2012). On the use of cross-validation for time series predictor evaluation. Information Sciences, 191, 192–213. DOI ↗Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife. Annals of Statistics, 7(1), 1-26. DOI ↗
AliasserRolling-Origin Cross-Validation, Walk-Forward Validation, Expanding Window Evaluation, Zaman Serisi Çapraz Doğrulamabootstrap, bootstrap resampling, nonparametric bootstrap, Bootstrap Çıkarımı
Relaterede35
ResuméTime-series cross-validation is a resampling procedure designed for sequentially ordered data. Instead of randomly partitioning observations — which would destroy temporal structure and introduce data leakage — it advances a forecast origin one step at a time, fitting a model on all past data up to that origin and evaluating it on the immediately following out-of-sample period. Economists, financial analysts, and meteorologists use it whenever an honest, operationally realistic estimate of predictive accuracy is required for a time-ordered process.Bootstrap inference, introduced by Bradley Efron in 1979, estimates the sampling distribution of a statistic by repeatedly resampling the observed data with replacement. It requires no distributional assumption and produces reliable confidence intervals even in small samples.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Time-Series Cross-Validation · Bootstrap Inference. Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare