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Tidvarierende parameter Granger-kausalitet×Vektorautoregression (VAR)×
FagområdeØkonometriØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår1969 (Granger); TVP extension ~20051980
OphavspersonC.W.J. Granger (causality concept); TVP extension developed by Primiceri (2005) and subsequent literatureChristopher A. Sims
TypeCausality test / time-varying modelMultivariate time-series model
Oprindelig kildeGranger, C. W. J. (1969). Investigating causal relations by econometric models and cross-spectral methods. Econometrica, 37(3), 424-438. DOI ↗Sims, C. A. (1980). Macroeconomics and Reality. Econometrica, 48(1), 1–48. DOI ↗
AliasserTVP Granger causality, rolling-window Granger causality, time-varying Granger test, dynamic Granger causalityVAR, VAR model, vector autoregressive model, multivariate autoregression
Relaterede45
ResuméTime-varying parameter Granger causality extends the classical Granger causality framework by allowing the predictive relationships between time series to evolve across time. Instead of assuming fixed causal effects, the model estimates causal coefficients that can shift, capturing structural breaks, regime changes, or gradual evolution in economic or financial relationships.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model in which each variable is regressed on its own lags and the lags of all other variables in the system. Originally proposed by Sims (1980) as a data-driven alternative to large structural macroeconomic models, VAR has become the standard workhorse for dynamic analysis in empirical economics and finance.
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Time-varying parameter Granger causality · Vector Autoregression. Hentet 2026-06-17 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare