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Betinget Value-at-Risk (Forventet Underskud)×ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average) Model×
FagområdeFinansieringØkonometri
FamilieRegression modelRegression model
Oprindelsesår20002015
OphavspersonRockafellar & Uryasev (2000); Acerbi & Tasche (2002)Box & Jenkins (Box-Jenkins methodology)
TypeCoherent tail-risk measureUnivariate time-series model
Oprindelig kildeRockafellar, R. T. & Uryasev, S. (2000). Optimization of Conditional Value-at-Risk. Journal of Risk, 2(3), 21-41. DOI ↗Box, G. E. P., Jenkins, G. M., Reinsel, G. C. & Ljung, G. M. (2015). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118675021
AliasserCVaR, expected shortfall, average value-at-risk, tail VaRBox-Jenkins model, ARIMA(p,d,q), ARIMA Modeli
Relaterede55
ResuméConditional Value-at-Risk (CVaR), also called Expected Shortfall, is a coherent tail-risk measure that quantifies the conditional expectation of losses beyond the Value-at-Risk threshold. It was introduced for optimization by Rockafellar and Uryasev (2000) and shown to be coherent by Acerbi and Tasche (2002), and it has replaced VaR as the regulatory standard under Basel III/IV.ARIMA is a univariate time-series forecasting model that combines autoregressive, integrated (differencing), and moving-average components to predict a single continuous series from its own past. It is the centrepiece of the Box-Jenkins methodology set out in Box, Jenkins, Reinsel & Ljung's Time Series Analysis (5th ed., 2015).
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ScholarGateSammenlign metoder: Conditional Value-at-Risk · ARIMA. Hentet 2026-06-15 fra https://scholargate.app/da/compare