Porovnat metody
Prohlédněte si vybrané metody vedle sebe; řádky, které se liší, jsou zvýrazněny.
| Nelineární model SARIMA× | Model ARIMA (Autoregressive Integrated Moving Average)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Obor | Ekonometrie | Ekonometrie |
| Rodina | Regression model | Regression model |
| Rok vzniku≠ | 1990–2000 | 1970 |
| Tvůrce≠ | Tong (1990) for threshold nonlinear extensions; Franses & van Dijk (2000) for empirical finance applications | George Box and Gwilym Jenkins |
| Typ≠ | Nonlinear time series model | Time series forecasting model |
| Původní zdroj≠ | Tong, H. (1990). Non-linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 978-0198523000 | Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day. link ↗ |
| Další názvy | NL-SARIMA, nonlinear seasonal ARIMA, threshold SARIMA, smooth transition SARIMA | ARIMA, Box-Jenkins model, integrated ARMA, ARIMA(p,d,q) |
| Příbuzné≠ | 3 | 6 |
| Shrnutí≠ | The Nonlinear SARIMA model extends the classical Seasonal ARIMA framework by replacing the linear conditional mean function with a nonlinear specification — such as threshold switching or smooth transition — while retaining seasonal differencing and lag structure. It is used when seasonal time series exhibit regime-dependent dynamics, asymmetric adjustment, or other nonlinear patterns that a linear model cannot capture. | The ARIMA(p,d,q) model is the standard workhorse for univariate time series forecasting. It combines autoregressive terms (past values), differencing to induce stationarity, and moving average terms (past shocks) into a unified linear framework. Developed by Box and Jenkins (1970), it remains one of the most widely applied models in econometrics and applied statistics. |
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