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Regrese MIDAS: Prognózování napříč datovými frekvencemi×Dynamický faktorový model×Model vektorové autoregrese (VAR)×
OborEkonometrieEkonometrieEkonometrie
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku200720022005
TvůrceEric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko & Rossen ValkanovJames Stock & Mark WatsonLütkepohl (textbook treatment); Sims (1980) macroeconometric tradition
TypParametric mixed-frequency forecasting modelLatent-factor time-series modelMultivariate time-series model
Původní zdrojGhysels, E., Sinko, A., & Valkanov, R. (2007). MIDAS regressions: Further results and new directions. Econometric Reviews, 26(1), 53–90. DOI ↗Stock, J. H., & Watson, M. W. (2002). Macroeconomic forecasting using diffusion indexes. Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, 20(2), 147–162. DOI ↗Lütkepohl, H. (2005). New Introduction to Multiple Time Series Analysis. Springer. DOI ↗
Další názvyMixed Frequency Regression, Mixed Data Sampling Model, High-Frequency Forecasting Regression, MIDAS RegresyonuDiffusion Index Model, Large-Scale Factor Model, Approximate Factor Model, Dinamik Faktör Modelivector autoregression, VAR, VAR Modeli (Vektör Otoregresyon), vektör otoregresyon
Příbuzné324
ShrnutíMIDAS (Mixed Data Sampling) Regression is an econometric framework that directly incorporates high-frequency predictors into models for lower-frequency outcome variables without requiring temporal aggregation of the regressors. Introduced by Eric Ghysels, Arthur Sinko, and Rossen Valkanov in 2007, MIDAS uses parsimoniously parameterized lag polynomials — such as the Beta or Exponential Almon weighting schemes — to summarize the information content of many high-frequency lags while avoiding parameter proliferation.A Dynamic Factor Model (DFM) extracts a small number of latent common factors from a large panel of economic time series and uses those factors to forecast or nowcast a target variable. Formalized for macroeconomic forecasting by James Stock and Mark Watson in their 2002 Journal of Business & Economic Statistics paper, DFMs handle hundreds of indicators simultaneously while avoiding the curse of dimensionality that plagues traditional multivariate models.Vector Autoregression is a multivariate time-series model that treats several interdependent series symmetrically, letting each variable depend on its own past values and the past values of all the others. It is the standard tool for capturing mutual causality and joint dynamics, developed in the modern multiple-time-series tradition treated by Lütkepohl (2005).
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: MIDAS Regression · Dynamic Factor Model · VAR Model. Získáno 2026-06-17 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare