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Konformní predikce pro časové řady×Regrese metodou ordinárních nejmenších čtverců (OLS)×Kvantilová regrese×
OborEkonometrieEkonometrieEkonometrie
RodinaRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
Rok vzniku202120191978
TvůrceAngelopoulos & Bates (tutorial); Xu & Xie (time-series EnbPI)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresKoenker & Bassett
TypDistribution-free prediction interval wrapperLinear regressionConditional quantile regression
Původní zdrojAngelopoulos, A. N. & Bates, S. (2023). Conformal Prediction: A Gentle Introduction. Foundations and Trends in Machine Learning, 16(4), 494-591. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Koenker, R. & Bassett, G., Jr. (1978). Regression Quantiles. Econometrica, 46(1), 33-50. DOI ↗
Další názvyconformal prediction, distribution-free prediction intervals, EnbPI, Konformal Tahmin (Conformal Prediction — Zaman Serisi)ordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonuconditional quantile regression, regression quantiles, Kantil Regresyon
Příbuzné455
ShrnutíConformal prediction is a distribution-free wrapper that turns any point forecaster — ARIMA, a neural network, or a machine-learning model — into valid prediction intervals using only its residuals. The time-series form was popularised by Xu & Xie (2021) and the modern tutorial treatment by Angelopoulos & Bates (2023).Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).Quantile regression models conditional quantiles of an outcome - the median, the 25th or 75th percentile, and so on - rather than the conditional mean that OLS targets. Introduced by Koenker and Bassett in 1978, it reveals how predictors act across the whole distribution, including its tails.
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ScholarGatePorovnat metody: Conformal Prediction (Time Series) · OLS Regression · Quantile Regression. Získáno 2026-06-18 z https://scholargate.app/cs/compare