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Simulació robusta de Monte Carlo×Inferència Bayesiana Robusta×
CampBayesiàBayesià
FamíliaBayesian methodsBayesian methods
Any d'origen1990s–2000s1984–1990
Autor originalSaltelli, Rubinstein, and the uncertainty-quantification communityJames O. Berger
TipusRobust simulation / uncertainty quantificationBayesian sensitivity / robustness framework
Font seminalSaltelli, A., Ratto, M., Andres, T., Campolongo, F., Cariboni, J., Gatelli, D., Saisana, M. & Tarantola, S. (2008). Global Sensitivity Analysis: The Primer. Wiley. ISBN: 978-0470059975Berger, J. O. (1990). Robust Bayesian analysis: sensitivity to the prior. Journal of Statistical Planning and Inference, 25(3), 303–328. DOI ↗
Àliesrobust MC simulation, Monte Carlo robustness analysis, robust stochastic simulation, uncertainty-robust Monte CarloBayesian sensitivity analysis, prior robustness, epsilon-contamination Bayesian analysis, robust Bayes
Relacionats66
ResumRobust Monte Carlo simulation extends standard Monte Carlo by explicitly accounting for uncertainty in input distributions, model structure, or parameter assumptions. Rather than assuming a single fixed probability distribution for each input, the analyst considers a family of plausible distributions and evaluates how sensitive the output is to those choices, yielding conclusions that hold across a range of reasonable assumptions.Robust Bayesian inference extends standard Bayesian analysis by replacing a single prior distribution with a class of plausible priors and examining how much the posterior conclusions change across that class. Instead of committing to one prior, the analyst bounds the posterior quantity of interest, revealing whether findings are stable or critically dependent on prior assumptions.
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ScholarGateCompara mètodes: Robust Monte Carlo Simulation · Robust Bayesian Inference. Recuperat el 2026-06-15 de https://scholargate.app/ca/compare