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Moirai: Transformer Universal per a la Predicció de Sèries Temporals×Chronos: Un model fundacional tokenitzat per a la predicció de sèries temporals×PatchTST×TimesFM×
CampAprenentatge profundAprenentatge profundAprenentatge profundAprenentatge profund
FamíliaMachine learningMachine learningMachine learningMachine learning
Any d'origen2024202420232024
Autor originalGerald Woo et al. (Salesforce)Abdul Fatir Ansari et al. (Amazon)Nie, Y. et al.Abhimanyu Das et al. (Google)
TipusFoundation model for zero-shot time-series forecastingPre-trained language-model-based time-series forecasterTransformer for time series forecastingPre-trained decoder-only transformer for zero-shot time-series forecasting
Font seminalWoo, G., Liu, C., Kumar, A., Xiong, C., Savarese, S., & Sahoo, D. (2024). Unified training of universal time series forecasting transformers. ICML. link ↗Ansari, A. F., Stella, L., Turkmen, C., Zhang, X., Mercado, P., Shen, H., et al. (2024). Chronos: Learning the language of time series. Transactions on Machine Learning Research. link ↗Nie, Y., Nguyen, N. H., Sinthong, P. & Kalagnanam, J. (2023). A Time Series is Worth 64 Words: Long-term Forecasting with Transformers. ICLR. link ↗Das, A., Kong, W., Sen, R., & Zhou, Y. (2024). A decoder-only foundation model for time-series forecasting. ICML. link ↗
ÀliesUnified Time-Series Transformer, Universal Forecasting Transformer, MOIRAI, Evrensel Zaman Serisi Tahmin TransformatörüChronos Forecasting Model, Amazon Chronos, Tokenized Time-Series LLM, Kronos Zaman Serisi ModeliPatchTST — Yama Tabanlı Zaman Serisi Transformer, patch-based time series transformer, channel-independent transformerTime-series Foundation Model, Google TimesFM, TimesFM forecaster, Zaman Serisi Temel Modeli
Relacionats3233
ResumMoirai is a foundation model for universal time-series forecasting introduced by Gerald Woo and colleagues at Salesforce Research in 2024 and presented at ICML. The core idea is to pre-train a single large Transformer on an exceptionally diverse corpus of time-series data (LOTSA) spanning many domains and frequencies, enabling zero-shot and few-shot forecasting on unseen datasets without task-specific retraining. Moirai employs patch-based tokenization, any-variate attention, and a mixture-of-distributions output head to handle variable frequencies, multiple variates, and probabilistic prediction in a unified architecture.Chronos is a family of pre-trained probabilistic forecasting models introduced by Ansari et al. at Amazon in 2024. It adapts the language-model paradigm to time series by quantizing continuous values into discrete tokens, enabling a standard transformer to be trained on a large heterogeneous corpus of time-series data. The result is a zero-shot forecasting model that generalizes across domains without requiring dataset-specific retraining.PatchTST is a patch-based Transformer architecture for time series forecasting, introduced by Nie and colleagues in 2023, that cuts each series into overlapping patches treated as tokens and processes channels independently. It balances computational efficiency with strong accuracy on long-horizon forecasting.TimesFM is a pre-trained foundation model for univariate time-series forecasting introduced by Abhimanyu Das, Weihao Kong, Rajat Sen, and Yichen Zhou from Google in 2024. The model adopts a decoder-only transformer architecture, similar in spirit to large language models, and is trained on a large corpus of real-world and synthetic time-series data. Its central innovation is the ability to perform accurate zero-shot forecasting across diverse domains without task-specific fine-tuning.
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ScholarGateCompara mètodes: Moirai · Chronos · PatchTST · TimesFM. Recuperat el 2026-06-17 de https://scholargate.app/ca/compare