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Reserva de Pèrdues amb Mètode Chain-Ladder (Model de Mack)×Inferencia Bootstrap×
CampCiència actuarialEstadística
FamíliaRegression modelRegression model
Any d'origen19931979
Autor originalThomas MackBradley Efron
TipusStochastic loss reserving modelResampling-based inference
Font seminalMack, T. (1993). Distribution-free calculation of the standard error of chain ladder reserve estimates. ASTIN Bulletin, 23(2), 213–225. DOI ↗Efron, B. (1979). Bootstrap Methods: Another Look at the Jackknife. Annals of Statistics, 7(1), 1-26. DOI ↗
ÀliesDevelopment Factor Method, Link Ratio Method, Loss Development Method, Zincir Merdiven Yöntemibootstrap, bootstrap resampling, nonparametric bootstrap, Bootstrap Çıkarımı
Relacionats35
ResumChain-Ladder Reserving is a stochastic actuarial method for estimating outstanding claim liabilities from a run-off triangle of cumulative paid losses. Formalized by Thomas Mack in 1993, it provides distribution-free estimates of reserve amounts along with their standard errors, making it a cornerstone of property-casualty insurance reserving and regulatory practice worldwide.Bootstrap inference, introduced by Bradley Efron in 1979, estimates the sampling distribution of a statistic by repeatedly resampling the observed data with replacement. It requires no distributional assumption and produces reliable confidence intervals even in small samples.
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ScholarGateCompara mètodes: Chain-Ladder Reserving · Bootstrap Inference. Recuperat el 2026-06-17 de https://scholargate.app/ca/compare