পদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন
নির্বাচিত পদ্ধতিগুলো পাশাপাশি পর্যালোচনা করুন; যে সারিগুলোয় পার্থক্য আছে সেগুলো চিহ্নিত করা হয়।
| দৃশ্যকল্প বিশ্লেষণ এবং কী-হয়তো-ঘটনা সিমুলেশন× | মন্টে কার্লো সিমুলেশন× | |
|---|---|---|
| ক্ষেত্র≠ | অনুকরণ | সিদ্ধান্ত গ্রহণ |
| পরিবার≠ | Process / pipeline | MCDM |
| উদ্ভবের বছর≠ | 1950s (origins); widely adopted in management since 1970s | 1949 |
| প্রবর্তক≠ | Peter Schwartz (scenario planning formalization), Herman Kahn (RAND Corporation, 1950s–60s) | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. |
| ধরন≠ | Structured analytical approach / simulation | Robustness wrapper — Monte Carlo uncertainty propagation |
| মৌলিক উৎস≠ | Goodwin, P. & Wright, G. (2014). Decision Analysis for Management Judgment (5th ed.). Wiley. ISBN: 978-1118173671 | Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. (1949). The Monte Carlo method. Journal of the American Statistical Association DOI ↗ |
| অপর নাম≠ | what-if analysis, what-if simulation, stress testing, scenario planning | — |
| সম্পর্কিত≠ | 3 | 0 |
| সারসংক্ষেপ≠ | Scenario analysis is a structured analytical approach that systematically compares system outputs across different combinations of uncertain input values. When paired with a quantitative model, it becomes a simulation — capable of stress-testing assumptions and projecting the range of plausible outcomes. Formalised in strategic planning by Peter Schwartz and Herman Kahn from the 1950s onward, the method is widely used in policy evaluation, business forecasting, financial risk assessment, and scientific model exploration. | MONTE-CARLO-SIMULATION (Monte Carlo Simulation — Stochastic uncertainty propagation through MCDM model) is a ranking multi-criteria decision-making (MCDM) method introduced by Metropolis, N., Ulam, S. in 1949. It turns a decision matrix of alternatives scored on multiple criteria into a structured, reproducible result. |
| ScholarGateডেটাসেট ↗ |
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