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ক্রসটনের বিরতিপূর্ণ চাহিদার পদ্ধতি×সাধারণ ন্যূনতম বর্গক্ষেত্র (OLS) রিগ্রেশন×থিটা পদ্ধতি×
ক্ষেত্রঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতিঅর্থমিতি
পরিবারRegression modelRegression modelRegression model
উদ্ভবের বছর197220192000
প্রবর্তকJ. D. Croston (1972)Wooldridge (textbook treatment); classical least squaresAssimakopoulos & Nikolopoulos
ধরনIntermittent demand time-series forecastingLinear regressionUnivariate time-series forecasting model
মৌলিক উৎসCroston, J. D. (1972). Forecasting and Stock Control for Intermittent Demands. Operational Research Quarterly, 23(3), 289-303. DOI ↗Wooldridge, J. M. (2019). Introductory Econometrics: A Modern Approach (7th ed.). Cengage Learning. ISBN: 978-1337558860Assimakopoulos, V. & Nikolopoulos, K. (2000). The Theta Model: A Decomposition Approach to Forecasting. International Journal of Forecasting, 16(4), 521-530. DOI ↗
অপর নামCroston method, intermittent demand forecasting, Croston Yöntemi — Aralıklı Talep Tahminiordinary least squares, classical linear regression, linear regression, en küçük kareler regresyonutheta model, theta forecasting, Theta Yöntemi — M3 Tahmin Yarışması Birincisi
সম্পর্কিত454
সারসংক্ষেপCroston's method, introduced by J. D. Croston in 1972, is a time-series forecasting technique built for intermittent demand series in which periods of zero demand are frequent. Instead of forecasting the raw series, it models the size of demand when it occurs and the interval between demand occurrences as two separate processes.Ordinary Least Squares is the classical linear regression method that explains a continuous outcome as a linear combination of predictors. It estimates the coefficients by minimising the sum of squared residuals, and under the Gauss-Markov assumptions these estimates are the best linear unbiased estimator (BLUE).The Theta Method is a univariate time-series forecasting model introduced by Assimakopoulos and Nikolopoulos in 2000. It decomposes a series into two theta lines that capture its long-run trend and its short-run dynamics, forecasts each line separately, and combines them by a weighted average. Its simplicity and accuracy made it the winner of the M3 forecasting competition.
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ScholarGateপদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন: Croston's Method · OLS Regression · Theta Method. 2026-06-18 তারিখে সংগৃহীত, উৎস: https://scholargate.app/bn/compare