পদ্ধতির তুলনা করুন

	অটো রিগ্রেসিভ মুভিং অ্যাভারেজ (ARMA) মডেল	কাঠামোগত ভেক্টর অটোরিগ্রেশন (SVAR)
ক্ষেত্র	অর্থমিতি	অর্থমিতি
পরিবার	Regression model	Regression model
উদ্ভবের বছর	1970	1980
প্রবর্তক	George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins	Sims (1980); identification schemes by Blanchard & Quah (1989)
ধরন	Time series model	Multivariate time series model
মৌলিক উৎস	Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1970). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control. Holden-Day.	Blanchard, O. J., & Quah, D. (1989). The dynamic effects of aggregate demand and supply disturbances. American Economic Review, 79(4), 655-673.
অপর নাম	ARMA, Box-Jenkins model, autoregressive moving average, AR(p)MA(q)	SVAR, structural vector autoregression, identified VAR, structural VAR model
সম্পর্কিত	5	5
সারসংক্ষেপ	The ARMA(p,q) model describes a stationary time series as a combination of two components: an autoregressive part that regresses the current value on its own past p values, and a moving average part that accounts for past q error terms. It is the foundational framework of the Box-Jenkins methodology for univariate time series modelling and short-run forecasting.	Structural VAR extends the reduced-form VAR by imposing economic theory-based restrictions that identify orthogonal structural shocks. This allows researchers to disentangle the causal effects of distinct economic disturbances — such as supply versus demand shocks — and trace their dynamic propagation through a system of variables via impulse response functions and forecast error variance decompositions.