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| Синтетичен контролен метод в изследванията на образованието× | Анализ на прекъснати времеви редове (ITS)× | |
|---|---|---|
| Област | Причинно-следствено заключение | Причинно-следствено заключение |
| Семейство | Regression model | Regression model |
| Година на възникване≠ | 2003-2010 | 2002 |
| Създател≠ | Alberto Abadie, Alexis Diamond, and Jens Hainmueller | Wagner, Soumerai, Zhang & Ross-Degnan (segmented regression); Bernal, Cummins & Gasparrini (tutorial) |
| Тип≠ | Quasi-experimental causal inference | Quasi-experimental segmented regression |
| Основополагащ източник≠ | Abadie, A., Diamond, A., & Hainmueller, J. (2010). Synthetic Control Methods for Comparative Case Studies: Estimating the Effect of California's Tobacco Control Program. Journal of the American Statistical Association, 105(490), 493-505. DOI ↗ | Bernal, J. L., Cummins, S., & Gasparrini, A. (2017). Interrupted time series regression for the evaluation of public health interventions: a tutorial. International Journal of Epidemiology, 46(1), 348-355. DOI ↗ |
| Други названия≠ | SCM in education, synthetic control, synthetic comparator, SCM | ITS analysis, segmented regression of time series, Kesintili Zaman Serisi (ITS) Analizi |
| Свързани | 5 | 5 |
| Резюме≠ | The Synthetic Control Method (SCM) estimates the causal effect of an education policy or intervention by constructing a weighted combination of untreated comparison units — the synthetic control — that closely mimics the treated unit's pre-intervention trajectory. Developed by Abadie, Diamond, and Hainmueller, it is especially valuable when only one or a small number of schools, districts, or countries receive a policy change and no natural comparison exists. | Interrupted Time Series analysis is a quasi-experimental design that estimates the effect of a single, well-dated intervention by comparing the trajectory of an outcome before and after it occurs. Formalised as segmented regression by Wagner and colleagues (2002) and popularised as a public-health evaluation tutorial by Bernal, Cummins and Gasparrini (2017), it separates the intervention's impact into a change in level and a change in slope. |
| ScholarGateНабор от данни ↗ |
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