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Нелинеен авторегресивен (NAR) модел×Авторегресивен модел (AR)×
ОбластИконометрияИконометрия
СемействоRegression modelRegression model
Година на възникване1978-19901970s (popularised 1976)
СъздателTong, H. (threshold AR); Terasvirta, T. (STAR variant)George E. P. Box and Gwilym M. Jenkins
ТипNonlinear time series modelTime series model
Основополагащ източникTong, H. (1990). Non-Linear Time Series: A Dynamical System Approach. Oxford University Press. ISBN: 9780198522201Box, G. E. P., & Jenkins, G. M. (1976). Time Series Analysis: Forecasting and Control (revised ed.). Holden-Day. ISBN: 978-0816211043
Други названияNAR model, nonlinear autoregression, NLAR, threshold autoregressive modelAR model, AR(p) model, autoregression, AR process
Свързани66
РезюмеThe Nonlinear AR model extends the classical autoregressive framework by allowing the mapping from past values to the current value to follow an arbitrary or regime-switching nonlinear function. Major families include the Self-Exciting Threshold AR (SETAR), Smooth Transition AR (STAR), and neural network AR, each capturing different forms of asymmetry, regime shifts, or smooth nonlinear dynamics in univariate time series.An autoregressive model of order p — AR(p) — expresses the current value of a time series as a linear function of its own p most recent past values plus a white-noise error. It is the building block of the Box-Jenkins family of time-series models and is widely used for forecasting stationary economic and financial series.
ScholarGateНабор от данни
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED
  1. v1
  2. 2 Източници
  3. PUBLISHED

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ScholarGateСравнение на методи: Nonlinear AR Model · Autoregressive model. Извлечено на 2026-06-17 от https://scholargate.app/bg/compare